Falling Testosterone and Why a Free Man Needs a Strong Body

Men's testosterone has dropped for decades. What the numbers show, and what I believe about strong men and aligned families.

By Dalton Goodyear7 min read

My rule is freedom per effort. Get more freedom for less grinding. Money, place, time, and a quiet head. It sounds like a business plan. It is also a body plan, because every one of those freedoms costs energy to build, and energy comes from a body that works.

So I started looking at men's hormones, and I did not like what I found. Testosterone in men has been falling for decades. Most of us were never told. Plenty of people make money selling the symptoms back to us.

This is the bigger story behind my raw carrot post. The carrot is small. This is not.

The number that is moving

Start with the hard numbers. The Massachusetts Male Aging Study tracked Boston-area men from 1987 to 2004. Men aged 65 to 69 averaged 503 ng/dL of total testosterone in 1988 and 423 in 2003. Same age, fifteen years apart. The drop was not explained by obesity or smoking, and the trend ran about 1.2 percent lower per year. A later look at the same group found that even men whose weight held steady or dropped saw their average fall 19 percent over twenty years.

It is not only older men. A study of 4,045 men aged 15 to 39 in the national NHANES survey found lower testosterone in 2011 to 2016 than in 1999 and 2000, from an average near 605 ng/dL to about 451. That is roughly a quarter. Among men at a normal weight it fell from about 665 to about 529. The survey changed lab methods along the way. The authors checked and judged the results comparable, but keep that in mind.

This July, a team that includes Hagai Levine of Hebrew University presented a larger analysis at a European fertility meeting. It pooled 118,593 men from 1972 to 2019 and found total and free testosterone falling, with the pace speeding up after 2000. News outlets ran with a 54 percent drop. Be careful with that number. It came from a conference presentation, the pooled studies did not fully adjust for body weight, one outlet says the 54 percent figure is not in the abstract itself, and I could not find a published paper. The direction matches the older studies. The size is still unsettled.

Why is it happening? Nobody knows for sure. Obesity and diabetes explain a real share, and a review of weight-loss trials found that testosterone rose as men lost weight. But the drop shows up in lean men too. Researchers point to inactivity, endocrine-disrupting chemicals, air pollution, and other exposures, and none of those is proven. There is one more twist. The lead author of the young-men study warned that normal ranges come from today's young men, so a falling population risks making low levels look normal.

What testosterone does, and what it does not

Testosterone helps keep bone and muscle. Low levels are linked with diabetes and low libido, and the authors of that July analysis note an association with higher mortality. Men peak in their late twenties and drift down from about thirty. That normal slope is what these studies say we are bending.

The popular picture says testosterone makes men aggressive and selfish. One of the best tests I know of says otherwise. In a Nature experiment, about 120 women got either a single dose of testosterone or a placebo, then played a money-splitting game. The testosterone group made fairer offers and had less conflict. The women who only believed they had gotten testosterone acted more unfairly. The authors read it as the hormone raising sensitivity to status, and in a complex society status usually comes from dealing fairly. One game, one dose, one lab. I would not build a philosophy on it. It does warn us against building one on the cartoon.

Freedom is a physical condition

There is a Tom MacDonald song called The System that I keep coming back to. The way I hear it, the song says media, politics, money, and consumer culture shape ordinary people into divided, distracted, dependent people who still think they are free. You can disagree with his politics, and plenty of people do, and still recognize the feeling. I do not need a villain to explain it. Incentives are enough. Food made to be overeaten. A phone made to be scrolled. A workday built around a chair. A clinic on every corner ready to sell the fix. None of that takes a conspiracy. It only takes a market for tired men.

Freedom is cheap to talk about. A man who wakes up foggy, sleeps six hours, carries weight he cannot shake, and drinks to come down at night can still vote and still post. He is not free in any way that counts. He cannot walk away from a bad job because he has no reserves. He does not start the business because he has no drive. He cannot have the hard talk at home because by seven there is nothing left.

Every freedom I am chasing costs energy to build.

Strong spines

This is where men's content usually goes bad, so I will be careful. I cannot draw a straight line from a hormone level to a country's problems. No study shows that raising the average testosterone in a nation would cut crime or fix its schools, and anyone who says otherwise is selling something. What I have is one observation and one belief, and I will label them.

The observation: about one in four American children, roughly 18.3 million, live without a father in the home. That comes from Census Bureau survey numbers compiled by an advocacy group. Researchers who study this say the quality of the father's relationship with his child matters more than whether he lives in the house. Showing up counts for more than an address.

The belief: a spine is a behavior. A man can have a perfect lab panel and no spine. A man with a modest panel can be the one everyone leans on. Testosterone raises the odds and does none of the work. The work is old and plain. Keep your word. Do the hard thing first. Pay your own way. Tell the truth when it costs you. Show up for your kids. Stay sober enough to be useful. A town full of men like that needs fewer programs. I believe a lot of what we fight about in public starts in private, with men who checked out or never got built. I believe the repair starts one man at a time, with his own body and his own habits.

Women are sacred, and built different

Women are sacred to me, and they are different by design. Both halves matter. Different does not mean lesser, and it does not give any man the right to hand out roles. In the body, it means two sexes running on the same two hormone families at different ratios. Women make testosterone, just at much lower levels. Men need estradiol. Neither hormone belongs to one sex alone.

That is why I dislike the way the carrot conversation treats estrogen like a contaminant. It is not a toxin. Half the human race runs on it and the other half needs it in the right amount. A man trying to drive his estrogen to zero has misunderstood his own body.

What I want from men is simple. Carry your share, so the women around you are not stuck carrying theirs and yours. When men go soft, sedated, or absent, someone picks up the weight, and often it is a mother, a sister, or a wife. A strong man is not a threat to a woman. He is part of why she gets to choose how she lives, instead of surviving what he left undone.

Where I would start

Nothing exotic. Sleep seven to eight hours. Lift three days a week and walk every day. Drink less. Eat protein at every meal. If your waist is up, bring it down, because weight is the one cause we are sure about. If something feels off, get a morning blood test through a doctor before you buy anything from a stranger. A falling average does not mean your number is low, and a low number does not automatically mean you need a prescription. There is a whole industry of supplement and telehealth sellers eager to fix a number for a monthly fee.

The world has plenty of voices telling us what is wrong with it, and I share some of their worry. I trust the repair that starts closer: a body that works, a home that holds, a day that is yours. Get the body right and the family has a stronger man at the table. Get the family right and the town follows. I call that alignment. It starts with a good night of sleep and a man deciding he is done being tired.

More field notes on training, sleep, and building a lean, free life are on the way at daltongoodyear.com.

Sources

  • testosterone decline
  • men's health
  • freedom per effort
  • strong men
  • fatherhood
  • tom macdonald
  • alignment
  • longevity

Anything here about money or results describes my own companies. It isn't typical and isn't a promise of yours. See the earnings disclaimer.

Dalton Goodyear

Operator, writer and speaker in Sheridan, Wyoming. Hosting short-term rentals since 2017. Licensed Wyoming real estate broker and founder of Wyo Stays.

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